haoyun321
0xdc85d9f17518520ed14fc86ba6e60794a0c6d9db
- Realised P&L
- $-7.63
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $48.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.940 | 0.933 | $11.22 | −$0.08 |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No | 0.810 | 0.880 | $10.56 | +$0.84 |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No | 0.750 | 0.775 | $10.07 | +$0.33 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.869 | 0.825 | $9.15 | −$0.49 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.977 | 0.978 | $4.93 | +$0.01 |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · No | 0.988 | 0.974 | $2.05 | −$0.03 |
| Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $0.55 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.65at 0.810Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
- +$0.31at 0.983USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$0.26at 0.958Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$0.23at 0.950Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$0.22at 0.910Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:21 | Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 08-09 11:19 | Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.968 | $9.68 |
| 07-26 08:39 | Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.955 | $11.46 |
| 07-26 08:37 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 07-26 08:36 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.951 | $9.51 |
| 07-26 08:36 | Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.81 |
| 07-17 13:08 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.941 | $9.41 |
| 07-10 12:16 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.886 | $7.97 |
| 07-10 12:15 | Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 06-26 10:12 | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.89 |
| 05-08 09:49 | StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 05-08 09:48 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.969 | $11.63 |
| 05-08 09:48 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.64 |
| 04-22 08:26 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.42 |
| 04-22 07:09 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.94 |