0xdc85adfbd51bb7ca470fe4dd02514b61e8c60147
- Realised P&L
- $-9.08
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $115.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.775 | $115.31 | −$18.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.05at 0.910USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$3.90at 0.965MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$1.91at 0.964Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.26at 0.994EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 07:57 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $134.12 |
| 03-31 09:35 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.965 | $125.45 |
| 03-31 09:34 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.996 | $128.47 |
| 03-24 11:39 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.994 | $89.15 |