thisisnotit
0xdc7d817256cc6d69b41783f9db89eb1dd9e11cc7
- Realised P&L
- $-0.97
- Volume
- $822.00
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $10.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.959 | $6.71 | +$0.83 |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.230 | $3.45 | +$1.05 |
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.20at 0.027Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-20 14:36 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.88 |
| 02-13 12:57 | Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.59 |
| 02-13 12:45 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 02-13 12:36 | Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 02-13 12:35 | Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |