PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

happy1916

0xdc76b0c165a0d7d6997d57fd11217e13baefd308

Realised P&L
$-234.89
Volume
$62.5k
Markets traded
588
Open portfolio
$26.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded588
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets0.5000.480$9.60−$0.40
Celtics vs. Cavaliers · Celtics0.5900.345$5.85−$4.15
76ers vs. Nets: O/U 218.5 · Over0.5100.565$5.54+$0.54
Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 · Over0.4900.515$5.26+$0.26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6340.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$10.00
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 · Over0.5470.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$3.00
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 · Over0.6700.000$0.00−$50.00
Ducks vs. Canucks · Ducks0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$3.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6100.000$0.00−$10.00
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5 · Over0.5570.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bucks vs. Lakers · Lakers0.6700.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:15Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5BUY0.4899999824$5.00
10-08 14:1376ers vs. Nets: O/U 218.5BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-08 14:13Celtics vs. CavaliersBUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-08 14:11Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.5$10.00
10-08 02:34Suns vs. BullsSELL0.3$5.26
10-08 01:29Magic vs. GrizzliesSELL0.5$5.43
10-08 01:03Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5SELL0.97$9.70
10-08 00:57Timberwolves vs. PacersSELL0.38$6.55
10-07 09:09Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5BUY0.5$5.00
10-07 09:02Magic vs. GrizzliesBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-07 08:58Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5BUY0.4699999944$10.00
10-07 08:50Timberwolves vs. PacersBUY0.5799999768$10.00
10-07 08:50Suns vs. BullsBUY0.5699999886$10.00
10-07 02:57Nuggets vs. JazzSELL0.95$14.39
10-07 01:37Nuggets vs. JazzBUY0.3299999815$5.00