happy1916
0xdc76b0c165a0d7d6997d57fd11217e13baefd308
- Realised P&L
- $-234.89
- Volume
- $62.5k
- Markets traded
- 588
- Open portfolio
- $26.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded588
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets | 0.500 | 0.480 | $9.60 | −$0.40 |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers · Celtics | 0.590 | 0.345 | $5.85 | −$4.15 |
| 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 218.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.565 | $5.54 | +$0.54 |
| Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.515 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.634 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 · Over | 0.547 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 · Over | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Ducks vs. Canucks · Ducks | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5 · Over | 0.557 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bucks vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.77at 0.487Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
- +$84.46at 0.37076ers vs. Warriors
- +$67.92at 0.815Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
- +$64.83at 0.884Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5
- +$63.75at 0.320Heat vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 14:15 | Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:13 | 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 218.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:13 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 14:11 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 02:34 | Suns vs. Bulls | SELL | 0.3 | $5.26 |
| 10-08 01:29 | Magic vs. Grizzlies | SELL | 0.5 | $5.43 |
| 10-08 01:03 | Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 | SELL | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 10-08 00:57 | Timberwolves vs. Pacers | SELL | 0.38 | $6.55 |
| 10-07 09:09 | Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 09:02 | Magic vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 08:58 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 08:50 | Timberwolves vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 08:50 | Suns vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 02:57 | Nuggets vs. Jazz | SELL | 0.95 | $14.39 |
| 10-07 01:37 | Nuggets vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |