xtyche
0xdc755605e4d4aae0e6c763c84abb916a44a2a292
- Realised P&L
- $-810.34
- Volume
- $399.8k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.296Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$941.00at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$873.34at 0.274Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$827.78at 0.541Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$514.55at 0.048US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 16:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 16:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8560112726 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 16:12 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 10:56 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.0502663696 | $92.27 |
| 07-19 19:26 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.04 | $33.33 |
| 07-16 06:14 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 06:14 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0299999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 20:15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4850000024 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.515 | $95.37 |
| 07-15 19:18 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 19:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1866475191 | $251.88 |
| 07-15 19:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1925857546 | $86.63 |
| 07-15 09:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999973 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 21:27 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6824999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 21:05 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9975 | $83.82 |