PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xtyche

0xdc755605e4d4aae0e6c763c84abb916a44a2a292

Realised P&L
$-444.65
Volume
$405.2k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.4380.825$801.36+$376.11
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7000.865$345.93+$65.99
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0950.041$133.80−$175.58
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1711.000$116.90+$96.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4360.085$58.50−$241.50
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3510.041$23.05−$176.95
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5600.001$0.04−$49.96
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$50.00
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.4490.000$0.00−$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00−$475.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3400.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 13:54Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?SELL0.96$115.20
10-17 14:40Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.7462593817$241.62
10-17 14:39Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.27$127.69
10-11 14:22New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.04$85.71
10-05 17:01New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.07$150.00
09-12 16:13Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?BUY0.6799999978$100.00
09-12 16:13Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?BUY0.8560112726$300.00
09-12 16:12Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4899999992$100.00
08-25 10:569.0 or above earthquake before 2027?SELL0.0502663696$92.27
07-19 19:26Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?SELL0.04$33.33
07-16 06:14Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999953$50.00
07-16 06:14Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0299999988$25.00
07-15 20:15England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4850000024$100.00
07-15 20:15England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.515$95.37
07-15 19:18England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999981$100.00