PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xtyche

0xdc755605e4d4aae0e6c763c84abb916a44a2a292

Realised P&L
$-810.34
Volume
$399.8k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.4380.745$964.86+$397.86
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7000.855$341.93+$61.99
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0950.041$132.17$177.21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6340.250$118.23$181.77
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? · Yes0.6800.740$108.82+$8.82
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1710.928$108.60+$88.60
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? · No0.8050.885$106.20+$9.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4360.145$99.80$200.20
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3510.105$59.76$140.24
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5600.021$1.92$48.08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$50.00
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.4490.000$0.00$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00$475.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3400.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 16:13Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?BUY0.6799999978$100.00
09-12 16:13Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?BUY0.8560112726$300.00
09-12 16:12Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4899999992$100.00
08-25 10:569.0 or above earthquake before 2027?SELL0.0502663696$92.27
07-19 19:26Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?SELL0.04$33.33
07-16 06:14Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999953$50.00
07-16 06:14Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0299999988$25.00
07-15 20:15England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4850000024$100.00
07-15 20:15England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.515$95.37
07-15 19:18England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999981$100.00
07-15 19:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1866475191$251.88
07-15 19:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1925857546$86.63
07-15 09:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969999973$50.00
07-11 21:27Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6824999981$100.00
07-10 21:05Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.9975$83.82