xtyche
0xdc755605e4d4aae0e6c763c84abb916a44a2a292
- Realised P&L
- $-444.65
- Volume
- $405.2k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.296Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$873.34at 0.274Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$827.78at 0.541Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$655.83at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$514.55at 0.048US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:54 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $115.20 |
| 10-17 14:40 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7462593817 | $241.62 |
| 10-17 14:39 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $127.69 |
| 10-11 14:22 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $85.71 |
| 10-05 17:01 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 16:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 16:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8560112726 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 16:12 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 10:56 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.0502663696 | $92.27 |
| 07-19 19:26 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.04 | $33.33 |
| 07-16 06:14 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 06:14 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0299999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 20:15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4850000024 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.515 | $95.37 |
| 07-15 19:18 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |