0xdc73654f15ec589cbbcab2f95cad49d3cb67efc3
0xdc73654f15ec589cbbcab2f95cad49d3cb67efc3
- Realised P&L
- $-10.63
- Volume
- $254.46
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $2.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.405 | $1.24 | −$0.05 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.320 | $1.18 | +$0.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.98at 0.816Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
- +$0.61at 0.892Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$0.35at 0.852Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?
- +$0.15at 0.952Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.12at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:42 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.18 |
| 09-28 08:42 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4199999414 | $1.29 |
| 08-30 14:45 | Will Paris FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-27 19:45 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | SELL | 0.87 | $21.53 |
| 08-27 14:38 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.8 | $19.80 |
| 08-19 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.19 |
| 08-19 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BUY | 0.969999998 | $9.90 |
| 08-12 15:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.98 |
| 08-12 15:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.97 |
| 08-12 15:14 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | SELL | 0.88 | $29.33 |
| 08-12 06:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9299997768 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 05:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 14:53 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.899999595 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 14:53 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.899999595 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 14:53 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.899999595 | $2.00 |