0xDc686b40bdF8e19dd85722C0A162E725E319Ec2B-1781111927802
0xdc686b40bdf8e19dd85722c0a162e725e319ec2b
- Realised P&L
- $-117.25
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 767
- Open portfolio
- $59.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded767
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.065 | $59.85 | −$91.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.00at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$15.49at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$14.95at 0.124Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$11.13at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$10.35at 0.167Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 09:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 09:36 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $22.40 |
| 08-16 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $1.18 |
| 08-16 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.10 |
| 08-16 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.09 |
| 08-16 06:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 08-16 06:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |