0xdc615a37370a7981582be3c131d2e91a8da806d4
0xdc615a37370a7981582be3c131d2e91a8da806d4
- Realised P&L
- $157.13
- Volume
- $142.87
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $39.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar110.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik · Francisco Cerundolo | 0.500 | 0.415 | $35.84 | −$7.34 |
| Hawai'i vs. Arizona State · Hawai'i | 0.500 | 0.015 | $3.17 | −$102.65 |
| Florida State vs. Louisville · Florida State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.05 |
| Senators vs. Red Wings · Senators | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.35 |
| Indiana vs. Nebraska · Nebraska | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.02 |
| Southern Miss Team Total: O/U 20.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.09 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians · Chicago White Sox | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.69 |
| North Dakota State vs. UNLV · North Dakota State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.61 |
| Palermo: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Francesco Passaro · Enrico Dalla Valle | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.00at 0.500North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
- +$65.55at 0.266Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5)
- +$57.55at 0.500Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin
- +$46.98at 0.500Georgia vs. Alabama
- +$44.65at 0.500Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 16:31 | Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5) | BUY | 0.26 | $23.21 |
| 10-07 01:17 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.993 | $17.94 |
| 10-06 21:59 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $9.04 |