BLISS9457
0xdc60d59c1b7eac765111608f5b9fd1c7edda145e
- Realised P&L
- $27.88
- Volume
- $946.13
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $257.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.40at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?
- +$15.45at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 31?
- +$12.86at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 29?
- +$12.06at 0.624Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 1?
- +$11.67at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.8910891071 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6237623657 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7002996933 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7975777245 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 08:44 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.65 | $45.14 |
| 10-31 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $49.40 |
| 10-31 08:43 | Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $61.10 |
| 10-30 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6414473653 | $30.00 |
| 10-30 16:31 | Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.75 | $46.88 |
| 10-30 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $30.00 |