failingtwice
0xdc6075779266ad130822fa8ed8711220dd70d245
- Realised P&L
- $-17.57
- Volume
- $173.04
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $25.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.940 | $25.07 | +$5.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$2.04at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$0.19at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
- +$-0.91at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$-2.07at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 06:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 11:16 | Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $4.42 |
| 10-01 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $3.26 |
| 10-01 10:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $7.50 |
| 10-01 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.16 |
| 10-01 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.21 |
| 10-01 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 10:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 10:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3235294003 | $5.00 |