ztao
0xdc5bd11896bfb0fb335dad88d99a7e9a6bc3f102
- Realised P&L
- $-16.8k
- Volume
- $2.06M
- Markets traded
- 6,555
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,555
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Spirit | 0.830 | 0.815 | $1.2k | −$22.50 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Team Falcons | 0.600 | 0.595 | $1.2k | −$10.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Vitality | 0.750 | 0.745 | $1.1k | −$7.62 |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5) · Spirit | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$648.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner · Team Yandex | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches · Team Yandex | 0.863 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.775Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner
- +$2.8kat 0.791Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
- +$2.7kat 0.701Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$2.6kat 0.695Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
- +$2.1kat 0.820Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 01:35 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 10-04 01:35 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.6 | $1.2k |
| 10-04 01:34 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.83 | $1.2k |
| 10-04 01:32 | Capitals vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.9143920333 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 01:31 | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 10-03 17:56 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 10-03 17:55 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.87 | $533.93 |
| 10-03 17:54 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.68 | $679.99 |
| 10-03 17:53 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.86 | $1.7k |
| 10-03 17:53 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 17:52 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-03 17:37 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.94 | $26.88 |
| 10-03 17:36 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9281258312 | $2.6k |
| 10-03 17:36 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.94 | $3.9k |
| 10-03 17:35 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.93 | $547.38 |