PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yan4h6bn

0xdc57488d875ceee202a7d5d36f4712b7b66840e1

Realised P&L
$101.11
Volume
$61.6k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$39.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9880.998$20.19+$0.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No0.9930.991$10.97−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20? · No0.9860.994$6.05+$0.05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9600.887$2.77−$0.23
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 07:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20?BUY0.985999998$6.00
10-19 07:55Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25?BUY0.9929999996$11.00
10-07 07:36Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.96$3.00
10-07 07:35Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?BUY0.9959999645$10.00
10-07 07:34Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?BUY0.991752061$20.00
09-15 04:10Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.987999999$4.00
09-15 04:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.998$15.00
08-22 03:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9759999922$2.00
08-22 03:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?BUY0.9939999995$8.00
08-08 03:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 9?BUY0.99$5.00
08-08 03:51Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.9949998762$8.00
07-31 08:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1?BUY0.9869999977$3.00
07-24 15:01Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?BUY0.9699999935$3.00
07-24 14:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25?BUY0.9679999974$3.00
07-06 03:34Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July?BUY0.996$8.00