yan4h6bn
0xdc57488d875ceee202a7d5d36f4712b7b66840e1
- Realised P&L
- $101.11
- Volume
- $61.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $39.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.988 | 0.998 | $20.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.993 | 0.991 | $10.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20? · No | 0.986 | 0.994 | $6.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.887 | $2.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.75at 0.550Hurricanes vs. Rangers
- +$8.62at 0.650Trump found guilty in hush money case?
- +$3.81at 0.840Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$1.91at 0.630Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.79at 0.528Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.985999998 | $6.00 |
| 10-19 07:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $11.00 |
| 10-07 07:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 07:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9959999645 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 07:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.991752061 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 04:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 08-22 03:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9759999922 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.9939999995 | $8.00 |
| 08-08 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 03:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9949998762 | $8.00 |
| 07-31 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9869999977 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 15:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.9679999974 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 03:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.00 |