0xDc527Ce971b01a662a9c10B0c6a4763eC3575627-1772072482594
0xdc527ce971b01a662a9c10b0c6a4763ec3575627
- Realised P&L
- $-449.49
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $63.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.125 | $63.99 | −$36.01 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.23 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.51at 0.195Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$198.84at 0.270Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 21:37 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.195355632 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 00:35 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $91.23 |
| 07-06 19:10 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 17:02 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 21:29 | Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 22:00 | Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.67 |
| 07-01 21:51 | Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.7369491267 | $289.86 |
| 07-01 21:50 | Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1669999875 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 20:03 | Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 17:55 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 17:44 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | SELL | 0.55 | $209.00 |
| 07-01 16:08 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $98.80 |
| 07-01 00:31 | Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 02:11 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 22:25 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | SELL | 0.83 | $305.79 |