PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MP1261

0xdc4bcfa627afa3aa26037cf135364eef1f51b8af

Realised P&L
$-29.47
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$58.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 13:18Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?SELL0.49$0.12
08-01 13:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?BUY0.4$0.10
08-01 13:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?SELL0.59$2.76
08-01 13:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?SELL0.39$3.55
08-01 09:18Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?BUY0.3299999296$3.00
08-01 09:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?BUY0.64$3.00
08-01 09:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?SELL0.05$1.50
08-01 04:25Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.64$10.00
08-01 04:16Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9299999986$20.00
08-01 04:15Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
08-01 03:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1?BUY0.26$2.08
07-31 11:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 31?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
07-24 17:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 24?SELL0.999$7.26
07-24 12:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?SELL0.1250025013$2.50
07-24 05:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 24?BUY0.9559999904$2.00