PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Risk.Rich

0xdc4478a391b6c19ea077e4d52eaddda5c325467b

Realised P&L
$158.33
Volume
$48.6k
Markets traded
804
Open portfolio
$0.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded804
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:21Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 21?BUY0.057851239$2.00
09-21 09:20Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 21?BUY0.04$1.00
09-21 09:18Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on September 21?BUY0.050164892$1.00
09-16 12:37Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 16?BUY0.0192307692$1.00
09-16 09:29Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16?BUY0.0784500621$2.00
09-16 09:28Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 16?BUY0.02$1.00
09-16 09:27Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 16?BUY0.05$2.00
09-16 09:24Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.0452631154$1.00
09-16 09:24Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 16?BUY0.025694762$1.00
09-08 17:25Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-08 17:25Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 8?BUY0.1252427125$2.00
09-07 16:19Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 8?BUY0.02$1.00
09-07 16:19Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 8?BUY0.059999946$1.00
09-07 16:18Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?BUY0.04$1.00
09-07 16:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 8?BUY0.0285714286$1.00