Risk.Rich
0xdc4478a391b6c19ea077e4d52eaddda5c325467b
- Realised P&L
- $158.33
- Volume
- $48.6k
- Markets traded
- 804
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded804
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.43at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?
- +$110.95at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
- +$95.85at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
- +$64.13at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
- +$59.69at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.057851239 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.050164892 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.0192307692 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16? | BUY | 0.0784500621 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.0452631154 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.025694762 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 8? | BUY | 0.1252427125 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0285714286 | $1.00 |