Risk.Rich
0xdc4478a391b6c19ea077e4d52eaddda5c325467b
- Realised P&L
- $184.18
- Volume
- $46.9k
- Markets traded
- 737
- Open portfolio
- $0.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded737
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.53at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?
- +$111.05at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
- +$96.11at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
- +$64.27at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
- +$59.74at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0160857752 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.019444445 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0763031141 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.059904901 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.0191960686 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0509999762 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0143098153 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0509201777 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1143910996 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0492305269 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $2.00 |