PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mdgc

0xdc3ffc7857b75c8cb2b01413c7696e7d4728f038

Realised P&L
$925.02
Volume
$5.66M
Markets traded
104,703
Open portfolio
$406.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded104,703
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · No0.5000.895$19.44+$8.58
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · No0.4480.415$16.60$1.30
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.5300.870$14.25+$5.57
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.4200.530$10.35+$2.15
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.4800.475$9.50$0.10
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? · No0.4700.445$8.90$0.50
Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31? · No0.5200.886$8.86+$3.66
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31? · No0.3600.870$8.70+$5.10
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4700.425$8.50$0.90
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.4700.820$8.20+$3.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5200.405$8.10$2.30
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.4900.380$7.60$2.20
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat? · No0.4100.365$7.30$0.90
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? · No0.4800.355$7.10$2.50
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.4900.710$7.09+$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 07:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ETBUY0.32$1.60
07-18 07:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ETBUY0.37$1.85
07-18 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ETBUY0.37$1.85
07-18 06:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2AM ETBUY0.31$1.55
07-18 06:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2AM ETBUY0.37$1.85
07-18 06:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2AM ETBUY0.41$2.05
07-18 06:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
07-18 06:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
07-18 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1AM ETBUY0.3399999169$1.80
07-18 05:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1AM ETBUY0.4299999103$2.30
07-18 05:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1AM ETBUY0.57$2.85
07-18 05:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1AM ETBUY0.61$3.05
07-18 05:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1AM ETBUY0.34$1.70
07-18 04:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12AM ETBUY0.59$2.95
07-18 04:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12AM ETBUY0.32$1.60