PolyBot

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Traders

MelissaRodgers5707

0xdc3ce06dd8758be8866722e8ad96abe21c2bd42e

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$184.1k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15? · No0.7001.000$1.7k+$503.10
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · No0.9991.000$868.00+$0.87
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? · No0.9901.000$740.00+$7.11
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? · Yes0.4601.000$378.00+$204.12
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans · Michigan State Spartans0.6400.500$185.50$51.94
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips · Akron Zips0.7900.500$181.00$104.98
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 · Over0.1101.000$144.00+$128.16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4800.725$140.38+$47.44
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.075$63.23$63.23
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.9741.000$35.42+$0.92
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13? · No0.8401.000$31.00+$4.96
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · No0.7501.000$27.48+$6.87
Will Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address? · No0.6101.000$18.00+$7.02
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7800.951$14.26+$2.56
Will Donald Trump say "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.3801.000$10.00+$6.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 04:09Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.6$361.80
04-21 04:08Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.6$9.00
04-21 04:07Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.59$33.63
04-13 17:56Will Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19)BUY0.59$561.68
04-13 17:23Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.3$202.50
04-13 16:34Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?SELL0.87$624.66
04-13 16:33Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?SELL0.87$637.71
04-13 16:10Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.81$525.69
04-13 14:15Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.82$532.18
04-13 13:06Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?BUY0.87$1.3k
04-13 09:47Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?SELL0.61$4.88
04-13 09:46Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?SELL0.61$12.20
04-13 05:15Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.11$0.77
04-12 22:55Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?BUY0.138$68.86
04-12 21:11Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?SELL0.76$744.80