PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kostasbravos

0xdc3a23e779de2efed2d81f5791d5e98cd103467d

Realised P&L
$4.60
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
183
Open portfolio
$3.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded183
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25? · Yes0.0900.145$1.45+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 25? · Yes0.1000.085$0.85−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 26? · Yes0.0500.045$0.45−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.1400.280$0.33+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24? · Yes0.0700.001$0.01−$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 24? · Yes0.0250.001$0.01−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 24? · Yes0.0010.001$0.01−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 24? · Yes0.0030.001$0.01−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 24? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01−$1.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 24? · Yes0.1150.001$0.01−$1.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 24? · Yes0.1500.001$0.00−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:22Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 20?SELL0.3$1.80
09-19 00:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20?SELL0.1$1.00
08-10 22:43Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?BUY0.54$4.32
08-10 15:55Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?BUY0.12$1.36
08-10 12:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 10?SELL0.21$1.05
08-10 02:21Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 11?BUY0.05$0.25
08-08 18:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 8?SELL0.26$2.60
08-07 23:59Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?BUY0.49$6.35
08-04 13:33Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4?SELL0.19$0.99
08-04 13:06Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4?SELL0.1$0.52
08-04 00:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.999$1.70
08-02 23:08Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4?BUY0.28$3.07
08-02 22:52Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?SELL0.25$4.25
08-02 22:49Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?SELL0.29$2.32
08-02 13:13Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2?SELL0.08$0.40