kostasbravos
0xdc3a23e779de2efed2d81f5791d5e98cd103467d
- Realised P&L
- $4.60
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $3.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.64at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?
- +$6.44at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?
- +$5.34at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?
- +$5.22at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 29?
- +$3.19at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-19 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.32 |
| 08-10 15:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.36 |
| 08-10 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-10 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 11? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-08 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-07 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.49 | $6.35 |
| 08-04 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.99 |
| 08-04 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.52 |
| 08-04 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.70 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.07 |
| 08-02 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.25 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.32 |
| 08-02 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |