0xdc33624575a550e040539b5a0d3d35f224e0241d
0xdc33624575a550e040539b5a0d3d35f224e0241d
- Realised P&L
- $9.18
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $26.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.215 | $12.09 | −$1.41 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $5.36 | −$0.64 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.65at 0.216Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$32.61at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$29.31at 0.076Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
- +$22.83at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$8.95at 0.195Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:47 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.1399999995 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:52 | Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 22:29 | Will Auriense CA vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 22:28 | Will Auriense CA win on 2026-10-29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 21:20 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? | BUY | 0.24 | $13.50 |
| 10-27 21:20 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 18:42 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:41 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:41 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 13:30 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | SELL | 0.8 | $34.28 |
| 10-26 11:22 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 10-26 11:22 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |