mthang
0xdc3117b4fa8ef91845fb1ab100ed91bcb9433fe8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $105.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,535
- Open portfolio
- $23.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,535
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.25at 0.697Désiré Doué: 1+ goals
- +$40.05at 0.110Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador?
- +$36.90at 0.100Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5
- +$36.12at 0.140France vs. England: England O/U 2.5
- +$34.20at 0.100Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 21:11 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $8.79 |
| 09-24 02:28 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.02 |
| 09-23 15:41 | Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.535 | $10.70 |
| 09-23 05:46 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo? | SELL | 0.698 | $12.56 |
| 09-22 23:08 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.347 | $6.94 |
| 09-22 22:49 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.441 | $2.21 |
| 09-22 19:57 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-22 15:13 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.375 | $7.50 |
| 09-22 09:31 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.544 | $10.88 |
| 09-22 03:53 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.22025 | $4.41 |
| 09-21 23:26 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-21 17:47 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.474 | $2.95 |
| 09-20 22:44 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.386 | $7.72 |
| 09-19 21:39 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 09-18 15:33 | Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |