mthang
0xdc3117b4fa8ef91845fb1ab100ed91bcb9433fe8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $93.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,287
- Open portfolio
- $73.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,287
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.21at 0.691Désiré Doué: 1+ goals
- +$40.05at 0.110Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador?
- +$36.90at 0.100Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5
- +$36.12at 0.140France vs. England: England O/U 2.5
- +$34.20at 0.100Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:20 | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 08-04 07:50 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 08-04 05:36 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.428628 | $8.57 |
| 08-04 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 00:42 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 08-04 00:40 | Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 20:48 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-03 20:25 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-03 18:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.43 |
| 08-03 16:23 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.616 | $12.32 |
| 08-03 15:18 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.74 |
| 08-03 14:59 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 08-03 14:50 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 08-03 14:49 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-03 14:46 | Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |