0xdc2cDC99Fd6e79b7B5162969B84DFF23AB78Af97-1779451908093
0xdc2cdc99fd6e79b7b5162969b84dff23ab78af97
- Realised P&L
- $115.12
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $0.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.95at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 20?
- +$17.01at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 17?
- +$11.94at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 18?
- +$7.06at 0.193Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 10?
- +$4.48at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:24 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 13:12 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | BUY | 0.06 | $7.20 |
| 10-27 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.14 |
| 10-26 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.95 |
| 10-24 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.0306541708 | $1.56 |
| 10-24 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.58 |
| 10-23 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.195 | $2.16 |
| 10-18 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.13 |
| 10-16 17:57 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | BUY | 0.0083665205 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.17 |
| 10-06 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 10-02 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0039100999 | $1.45 |
| 10-02 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.67 |
| 10-02 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.04 |
| 09-20 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.10 |