PolyBot

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Traders

0xdc2cDC99Fd6e79b7B5162969B84DFF23AB78Af97-1779451908093

0xdc2cdc99fd6e79b7b5162969b84dff23ab78af97

Realised P&L
$115.12
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$0.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:24Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?BUY0.036$1.08
11-01 13:12Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?BUY0.06$7.20
10-27 06:32Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 27?BUY0.027$0.14
10-26 07:20Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?BUY0.07$0.95
10-24 09:03Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 24?BUY0.0306541708$1.56
10-24 08:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 24?BUY0.029$0.58
10-23 12:14Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 23?BUY0.195$2.16
10-18 09:36Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 19?BUY0.004$1.13
10-16 17:57Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?BUY0.0083665205$1.00
10-06 10:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 6?BUY0.039$1.17
10-06 08:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 6?BUY0.03$0.18
10-02 05:30Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 2?BUY0.0039100999$1.45
10-02 04:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.015$0.67
10-02 04:39Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.028$1.04
09-20 05:57Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.002$0.10