0xDc2a91D9ea48677A708955D84785E4683C0B9283-1772429316165
0xdc2a91d9ea48677a708955d84785e4683c0b9283
- Realised P&L
- $-43.91
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $16.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.996 | $8.66 | +$3.62 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? · No | 0.600 | 0.999 | $8.32 | +$3.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.86at 0.460LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner
- +$5.00at 0.500Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)
- +$4.95at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 30?
- +$4.22at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 24?
- +$4.13at 0.536Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on April 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.996 | $8.19 |
| 04-08 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.96 | $8.12 |
| 04-08 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.18 |
| 04-08 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on April 8? | SELL | 0.995 | $8.96 |
| 03-15 00:51 | Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.68 |