0xdc244ea3837eda8caa0b95fd2201c1a864251840
- Realised P&L
- $-2.07
- Volume
- $33.60
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $7.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.920 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.900 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.633 | 0.693 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.770 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.620 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.460 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.320 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.94at 0.520Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.56at 0.640US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.29at 0.777Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.787Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:04 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:28 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6329999323 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:27 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:06 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:06 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 05:57 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:35 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:49 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 03:15 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 07:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |