xwalters
0xdc21db6c37fc9d7c383a35fce2a41a3ee5ea03f0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.95
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $53.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.870 | $53.83 | +$9.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.260TikTok banned in 2025?
- +$0.39at 0.900Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$0.28at 0.316Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$0.23at 0.985Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.22at 0.310Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:31 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 01-30 14:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.20 |
| 01-30 14:18 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.72 |
| 01-30 14:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.07 |
| 01-30 14:11 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $21.28 |
| 01-30 13:30 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.30 |
| 12-30 13:00 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999759 | $15.07 |
| 12-29 22:11 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999168 | $6.60 |
| 12-29 22:09 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999803 | $33.31 |
| 12-29 20:39 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.65 |
| 10-30 20:31 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.48 |
| 10-30 19:53 | Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.35 |
| 09-29 12:52 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999872 | $16.77 |
| 09-29 03:38 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.61 |
| 09-29 02:20 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.67 |