PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xdC1D52Bd527397Cab14737ae20456B7dA346d67F-1782832905005

0xdc1d52bd527397cab14737ae20456b7da346d67f

Realised P&L
$181.84
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$259.80

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? · No0.9350.981$104.87+$4.87
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.9521.000$63.01+$3.01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? · No0.9520.953$50.01+$0.01
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.9081.000$33.00+$3.00
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.3800.964$8.87+$5.37
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.3780.004$0.04−$3.46
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00−$70.00
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$110.00
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5 · Over0.7280.000$0.00−$30.00
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$30.00
Spain leading at halftime? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$30.00
Israel vs. Republic of Ireland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.7100.000$0.00−$20.00
Israel vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5 · Over0.7050.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 11:30Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?BUY0.934999997$100.00
10-28 05:40Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.96$30.00
10-27 23:00Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.735256528$30.00
10-27 22:46Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9085051433$30.00
10-27 19:28Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9436435026$30.00
10-27 19:27Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.3799999718$3.50
10-27 19:26Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.3780551719$3.50
10-27 18:37Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?BUY0.9523809524$50.00
10-25 23:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0619999998$10.00
10-25 23:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0619999998$10.00
10-25 21:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6649999993$30.00
10-25 21:18FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5BUY0.9099999991$30.00
10-14 19:26Lincoln City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.7699999992$30.00
10-14 19:25Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.9$50.00
10-04 21:08England vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5BUY0.8899999979$30.00