PolyBot

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Traders

0xdc1d02f650b3a5b9d59e9205e3e03b2b373fca83

Realised P&L
$46.79
Volume
$372.70
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$52.72

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5900.885$15.00+$5.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7600.925$12.17+$2.17
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.7200.715$9.93$0.07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10? · Up0.5270.520$9.86$0.14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7800.895$5.44+$0.70
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.4200.105$0.32$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 06:48S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?BUY0.5273631634$10.00
08-07 22:47US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.7199999539$10.00
08-03 10:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7599999483$10.00
08-03 02:12Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4599999844$10.00
08-03 01:18Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
08-02 17:17Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
08-02 08:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
08-02 00:08Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3499998349$1.06
08-01 16:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.769999518$1.23
08-01 14:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
08-01 04:11Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.32$1.36
08-01 04:11New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 20:10New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.55
07-31 12:10Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.41$1.23
07-30 17:34Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.41$1.23