PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pepenats

0xdc1b5efc38deba2896144a7fe9082283007ef0c2

Realised P&L
$-142.95
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
345
Open portfolio
$5.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded345
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration2.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26? · No0.7900.994$1.26+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26? · No0.8001.000$1.25+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26? · No0.8001.000$1.25+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27? · No0.8000.850$1.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 28? · No0.8000.755$0.94−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 24? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 29? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 2? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on June 29? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 14? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 25? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 23? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 3? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 1? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 16:21Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 28?BUY0.8$1.00
09-26 06:18Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-25 23:16Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27?BUY0.8$1.00
09-25 09:11Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?BUY0.8$1.00
09-24 16:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.8$1.00
09-24 11:03Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26?BUY0.8$1.00
09-24 02:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 25?BUY0.8$1.00
09-23 03:51Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 23?BUY0.8$1.00
09-22 14:47Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 23?BUY0.8$1.00
09-22 14:47Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 23?BUY0.8$1.00
09-22 11:46Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 24?BUY0.8$1.00
09-22 10:45Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?BUY0.8$1.00
09-21 17:40Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 23?BUY0.8$1.00
09-21 08:36Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22?BUY0.8$1.00
09-21 04:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?BUY0.8269998925$1.00