pepenats
0xdc1b5efc38deba2896144a7fe9082283007ef0c2
- Realised P&L
- $-142.95
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $5.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.64at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?
- +$28.64at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 25?
- +$22.39at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?
- +$22.39at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 27?
- +$3.45at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | BUY | 0.8269998925 | $1.00 |