silvious22
0xdc1a8101020bcb5f88cd6986ecdf32e901b09d19
- Realised P&L
- $-56.64
- Volume
- $721.84
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $0.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.020 | $0.32 | −$3.84 |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? · No | 0.296 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Up | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.74at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$6.28at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$3.23at 0.397Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$1.89at 0.310Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.49at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 21:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $24.69 |
| 06-15 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $25.00 |
| 06-15 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999842 | $25.00 |
| 06-15 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999956 | $25.00 |
| 06-15 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999973 | $25.00 |
| 05-08 13:56 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 05-05 14:22 | Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | BUY | 0.2589999657 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 18:26 | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.55 | $8.60 |
| 05-03 17:32 | Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 17:28 | Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-03? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.24 |
| 05-02 18:55 | Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.2963304348 | $6.82 |