hotwallet7
0xdc13b5c1b72c0140e50df4f768737fc8b249541b
- Realised P&L
- $-42.92
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $4.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.095 | $4.08 | −$5.92 |
| Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Democratic sweep? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 00:45 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0289999942 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 06:02 | Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 04:44 | Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 02-09 10:21 | Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 11-30 17:26 | Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2328705636 | $10.00 |
| 11-19 01:35 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.067999988 | $5.00 |
| 11-05 04:13 | Democratic sweep? | BUY | 0.0017926737 | $5.00 |
| 11-04 19:19 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 11-04 07:36 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |