0xdc13423523DFC56B07261C1d3289207397c01C1E-1757415398442
0xdc13423523dfc56b07261c1d3289207397c01c1e
- Realised P&L
- $-402.31
- Volume
- $77.1k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $885.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.03at 0.009Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
- +$45.41at 0.180Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators
- +$42.49at 0.191High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
- +$33.33at 0.133Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
- +$32.50at 0.075Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:17 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2667551416 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 09:21 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.093 | $6.82 |
| 10-20 11:42 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.4162118477 | $200.00 |
| 10-20 10:02 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.374 | $27.41 |
| 10-15 23:07 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 14:54 | Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0062130545 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:48 | Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0075759298 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:47 | Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.009 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:46 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0101426032 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:46 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0107843137 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:45 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0100506443 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:44 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.019 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:43 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.022 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:42 | Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0221489189 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 14:41 | Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.031 | $50.00 |