jocpolitic
0xdc03d611e5bcc9f1c87edb95edeb91671471804c
- Realised P&L
- $68.7k
- Volume
- $11.90M
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $244.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.4kat 0.730Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$45.3kat 0.200Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$36.2kat 0.224Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$33.6kat 0.454US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$32.8kat 0.414Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 15:07 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.924 | $1.1k |
| 07-18 19:27 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.2042437068 | $174.69 |
| 06-11 09:21 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | SELL | 0.2375778816 | $61.01 |
| 06-11 09:20 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | SELL | 0.2762752631 | $165.41 |
| 06-11 09:09 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.1677934157 | $184.20 |
| 06-11 09:08 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.971 | $3.0k |
| 06-11 09:08 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.974 | $61.65 |
| 06-11 09:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.1k |
| 06-09 19:12 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9265893183 | $818.35 |
| 06-09 15:10 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $20.5k |
| 06-08 23:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $990.95 |
| 06-08 22:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.983 | $2.0k |
| 06-08 22:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.983 | $1.9k |
| 06-08 22:03 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.109 | $539.51 |
| 06-08 22:03 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $25.99 |