MaxCarry
0xdc023d6434dcbe1fc39410fe1c88b02a6e80f89c
- Realised P&L
- $-972.97
- Volume
- $105.2k
- Markets traded
- 546
- Open portfolio
- $113.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded546
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.565 | $113.00 | +$28.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$524.92at 0.759No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$483.21at 0.694Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$319.99at 0.680Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$311.24at 0.823Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
- +$300.00at 0.400Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 09-17 13:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 09-16 09:45 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.38 | $42.93 |
| 09-14 05:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $310.10 |
| 09-14 05:04 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.601 | $300.45 |
| 09-11 08:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $305.00 |
| 09-01 05:27 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.4276470588 | $63.25 |
| 08-12 03:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 08-01 10:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 07-29 15:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $197.94 |
| 07-29 15:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.733 | $293.20 |
| 07-29 11:32 | Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 07-28 04:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.716 | $716.00 |
| 07-23 09:01 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 07-20 01:06 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3030744005 | $52.96 |