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Traders

ElonSleep

0xdbf99963ba3e62c65a6870d0887d6f776e03b9cc

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$461.1k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:30Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.219301091$142.11
08-03 17:42Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.17768376$177.68
08-03 17:39Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?SELL0.55$18.75
08-03 15:54Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?SELL0.38$7.60
08-03 15:54Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?BUY0.14$22.84
07-31 23:32Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?BUY0.974$19.48
07-31 20:35Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.406$1.53
07-29 15:04Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?SELL0.0020330125$3.82
07-29 14:49Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.002$4.41
07-29 14:38Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?SELL0.111$55.50
07-28 04:00Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.1488032787$27.23
07-28 03:02Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.1515727799$53.68
07-28 02:01New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? BUY0.998$19.96
07-27 18:22Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.007$11.89
07-27 18:02Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.1008581405$34.08