PolyBot

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Traders

ElonSleep

0xdbf99963ba3e62c65a6870d0887d6f776e03b9cc

Realised P&L
$6.9k
Volume
$658.1k
Markets traded
333
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded333
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 23:31Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?SELL0.8541371913$68.48
09-18 09:57Will SPD win at least 16% of all valid second votes?BUY0.89$73.87
09-18 09:57Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?BUY0.129$10.71
09-18 09:51Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.53$79.50
09-18 09:51Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.33$49.30
09-18 09:51Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?SELL0.27$40.50
09-17 23:06Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.53$63.60
09-17 22:12Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 2-5%?BUY0.1266666667$3.80
09-17 20:37Will FDP be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.9673886648$47.96
09-17 20:35Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.57$26.22
09-17 20:35Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.53$26.53
09-17 20:01Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.56$168.00
09-17 15:04Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?BUY0.75$23.45
09-17 10:41Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.061$19.52
09-17 10:34Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 2-5%?SELL0.31$12.40