PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Letsplay81

0xdbf476e6ecc3cfbd51374accbf61e3a9082e66ea

Realised P&L
$-231.92
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$31.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 15? · Yes0.2930.270$18.44−$1.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 14? · Yes0.1580.092$5.85−$4.15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 15? · Yes0.1700.145$4.26−$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 15? · Yes0.1400.045$3.21−$6.79
Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.001$0.07−$29.93
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.001$0.04−$19.96
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.5070.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00−$25.00
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSELL0.76$41.47
10-14 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.4581655035$25.00
10-14 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.5399999918$25.00
10-14 21:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.4599999923$25.00
10-14 18:50Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 14?BUY0.1579999981$10.00
10-14 18:43Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto end in a draw?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
10-14 18:33Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?BUY0.2299999993$30.00
10-13 22:16Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 15?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-13 22:15Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 15?BUY0.2928257687$20.00
10-13 22:06Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 15?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
10-13 10:38Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.25$30.00
10-13 10:36Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-11 17:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.3299999989$25.00
10-11 17:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.3299999989$25.00
10-11 17:13Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.4199999966$40.00