Letsplay81
0xdbf476e6ecc3cfbd51374accbf61e3a9082e66ea
- Realised P&L
- $-231.92
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $31.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.25at 0.259Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
- +$29.41at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$25.01at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$23.99at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$16.71at 0.382Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $41.47 |
| 10-14 21:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4581655035 | $25.00 |
| 10-14 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 10-14 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999923 | $25.00 |
| 10-14 18:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.1579999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 18:43 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-14 18:33 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.2928257687 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 10:38 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 10:36 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 17:13 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $40.00 |