PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdBF23895584f58d312879A88D4b4182d6811a58B-1774796922705

0xdbf23895584f58d312879a88d4b4182d6811a58b

Realised P&L
$-46.54
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
406
Open portfolio
$43.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded406
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.875$12.07+$0.07
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · No0.9200.905$11.80$0.20
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.4940.645$11.75+$2.75
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.7800.585$7.50$2.50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5910.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$10.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes0.7290.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:25Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
09-16 21:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.9$10.48
09-15 07:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.8589999913$10.00
09-15 07:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.87$12.00
09-13 17:10Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.92$3.28
09-10 21:26Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.84$3.00
09-09 17:44Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.8899999733$3.00
09-06 07:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.9699999995$20.00
09-05 21:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.968$12.76
09-05 15:53Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.981$5.84
09-05 08:04Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.42$3.69
09-01 22:29Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.8399999395$5.00
09-01 22:24Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.91$8.00
09-01 22:24Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.9199999356$12.00
08-30 09:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.9099999302$12.00