PolyBot

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Traders

Carina0118

0xdbf05a2d7377bcbb58c4c69e7ceffbe972e07260

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$327.3k
Markets traded
2,339
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,339
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 16? · Yes0.9701.000$441.44+$13.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 16? · No0.9941.000$438.30+$2.27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16? · No0.9991.000$249.97+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on September 16? · No0.9981.000$235.30+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 16? · No0.9601.000$215.18+$8.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on September 16? · No0.9991.000$128.54+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on September 16? · No0.9991.000$45.98+$0.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$29.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9AM ET · Down0.2810.000$0.00$15.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$80.00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$9.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$29.40
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 5AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$4.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$29.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 08:34Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.97$194.00
09-16 08:34Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.97$91.00
09-16 08:34Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.97$143.41
09-16 08:28Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16?BUY0.999$249.85
09-15 15:38Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on September 16?BUY0.998777605$128.44
09-15 15:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 16?BUY0.959568489$206.59
09-15 15:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15?SELL0.999$204.12
09-15 15:36Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.9943158807$436.03
09-15 15:36Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on September 16?BUY0.998$234.95
09-15 15:35Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on September 16?BUY0.999$45.95
09-15 07:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 15?BUY0.87$8.70
09-15 07:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 15?BUY0.87$8.70
09-15 07:38Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 15?BUY0.878502994$88.03
09-15 04:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15?BUY0.97$55.77
09-15 04:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15?BUY0.93$43.12