PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dgs

0xdbe6b551fcb14298e2eb8658f9d10df7496a2770

Realised P&L
$818.96
Volume
$780.0k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$683.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0430.038$192.50$22.50
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0290.033$162.50+$17.50
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0050.004$140.00$29.98
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0070.005$68.75$18.74
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0050.004$67.50$7.50
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0050.004$52.50$22.50
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$66.99
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$154.50
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$46.00
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$32.91
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$186.00
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$389.19
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$99.66
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$18.00
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$13.00
09-10 08:23Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.007$87.50
09-10 07:56Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.005$75.00
09-10 07:56Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.005$75.00
09-10 07:51Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.004$80.00
06-29 16:54Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.051$255.00
06-29 11:05Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.03805224$9.51
06-29 11:05Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$5.00
06-06 15:33Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.15$37.50
02-02 19:36Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.318$636.63
02-02 19:34Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?BUY0.56$28.00
01-25 18:46Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.24227101$242.27
01-25 18:43Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.084$42.00
01-25 18:42Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY0.4899999947$46.00
01-20 17:17Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.075$112.50