0xDBe5D74b60F8bf0c4b0c121780B1A9E2bfd594b3-1776937584046
0xdbe5d74b60f8bf0c4b0c121780b1a9e2bfd594b3
- Realised P&L
- $-796.82
- Volume
- $103.9k
- Markets traded
- 757
- Open portfolio
- $2.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded757
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.93at 0.015Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$80.71at 0.123Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$74.07at 0.393Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
- +$48.05at 0.074Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?
- +$47.90at 0.178Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0559999998 | $11.14 |
| 09-24 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.0569999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.57 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Bitcoin above 74,800 on September 16, 3PM ET? | BUY | 0.0648148138 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Bitcoin above 77,000 on September 16, 3PM ET? | BUY | 0.0648148138 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 18:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 02:00 | Bitcoin above 75,000 on September 15, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.0759969674 | $12.53 |
| 09-16 01:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0020385005 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |