PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x24CdA331801f07E9FbBdA28D99a1bc5C03f2C654-1720939720847

0xdbe004e579e933637b4a7157a6bb14948d9e32cd

Realised P&L
$306.09
Volume
$104.6k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$539.18$49.01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0460.044$341.76$14.93
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.055$275.00$75.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.0750.060$119.58$29.93
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1390.070$15.05$14.90
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.2400.145$6.55$4.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.0180.000$0.00$25.00
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.7030.000$0.00$167.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up0.2130.000$0.00$400.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 06:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.0183671363$25.00
08-12 06:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.011183847$23.36
08-12 06:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.02$25.00
08-12 06:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.0820029589$100.00
08-12 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.1490855344$100.00
08-12 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.1474241319$100.00
08-12 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.1796554385$100.00
08-12 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.322133202$100.00
08-12 06:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.1172511637$100.00
08-12 06:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.2071453844$100.00
08-12 06:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.3299999978$100.00
08-12 06:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.4182179619$100.00
08-12 06:29Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?SELL0.999$499.50
08-11 05:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.0790112511$88.13
08-11 05:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.0899999934$11.87