PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDBDF4F47DBbE04dd9Bf840C7dC3f2AA0B7bA8CB7-1726182153593

0xdbdf4f47dbbe04dd9bf840c7dc3f2aa0b7ba8cb7

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$171.4k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$43.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat? · Yes0.9100.981$42.59+$3.08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5600.032$1.41−$23.59
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$20.65
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025? · No0.1040.000$0.00−$20.00
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$140.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election? · No0.0410.000$0.00−$20.00
Another US bank failure by March 31? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? · Yes0.5730.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-08 23:06US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.779999998$15.44
02-08 23:04US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.779999988$5.21
02-08 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.3699999674$4.86
02-08 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
02-08 22:56Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.1799998704$0.99
02-08 22:53Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.32$4.88
02-08 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.3899999754$6.62
02-08 21:28Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.35$20.46
02-07 14:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$10.00
02-07 14:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$10.00
02-07 14:38Grok 4.20 released by February 28?BUY0.4386841388$20.00
02-07 14:31Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
02-07 14:30Another US bank failure by March 31?BUY0.2194513645$20.00
02-07 14:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.5$3.88
02-07 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.4099999947$19.41