0xDBDF4F47DBbE04dd9Bf840C7dC3f2AA0B7bA8CB7-1726182153593
0xdbdf4f47dbbe04dd9bf840c7dc3f2aa0b7ba8cb7
- Realised P&L
- $-8.9k
- Volume
- $171.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $43.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$544.53at 0.292Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$372.94at 0.343Iran strike on Israel before November?
- +$370.00at 0.6201 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
- +$265.71at 0.070Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$259.41at 0.768Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 23:06 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $15.44 |
| 02-08 23:04 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.779999988 | $5.21 |
| 02-08 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $4.86 |
| 02-08 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $0.99 |
| 02-08 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $4.88 |
| 02-08 21:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999754 | $6.62 |
| 02-08 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $20.46 |
| 02-07 14:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 14:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 14:38 | Grok 4.20 released by February 28? | BUY | 0.4386841388 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 14:31 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 14:30 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | BUY | 0.2194513645 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.88 |
| 02-07 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $19.41 |