0xdbdc4378af5a229ee81e0d8b4bfb69567218f084
- Realised P&L
- $-6.45
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 625
- Open portfolio
- $6.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded625
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19? · No | 0.850 | 0.520 | $6.12 | −$3.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.22at 0.632Will Solana reach $100 in April?
- +$12.66at 0.709Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 6?
- +$12.27at 0.664Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
- +$11.71at 0.619Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$10.58at 0.741Will Solana reach $90 on April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 09:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 19? | SELL | 0.981 | $9.82 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.981 | $10.07 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | SELL | 0.966841622 | $12.64 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | SELL | 0.94 | $17.78 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will Solana reach $140 in September? | SELL | 0.883 | $14.04 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September? | SELL | 0.989 | $10.86 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | SELL | 0.8669469854 | $16.68 |
| 09-19 04:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 13:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 08:29 | Will Solana dip to $60 in September? | SELL | 0.971 | $9.84 |
| 09-17 04:22 | Will Solana dip to $60 in September? | SELL | 0.971 | $0.14 |
| 09-16 14:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.96 |
| 09-16 14:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.43 |