segcom
0xdbd49ab60496a8efe822e0d05e887f4821fc061e
- Realised P&L
- $-24.62
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $13.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 22? · No | 0.830 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$0.53 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 21? · No | 0.810 | 0.989 | $2.97 | +$0.54 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22? · No | 0.820 | 0.895 | $2.69 | +$0.23 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 22? · No | 0.820 | 0.655 | $1.97 | −$0.49 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 22? · No | 0.720 | 0.565 | $1.70 | −$0.47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET · Up | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.85at 0.830Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 16?
- +$0.61at 0.878Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 16?
- +$0.52at 0.897Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 20?
- +$0.13at 0.974Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 10:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 22? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 10-21 10:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 10-21 10:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.16 |
| 10-21 10:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-21 02:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.43 |
| 10-19 10:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-19 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.010608999 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 15:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-15 12:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-14 12:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.972 | $4.86 |