Roy17654
0xdbd47df051afefca9aab8f859d2f4b1a1eb57b8f
- Realised P&L
- $-17.35
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $106.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.493 | 0.540 | $38.37 | +$3.37 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.190 | 0.145 | $26.71 | −$8.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.260 | $23.17 | +$2.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.650 | $18.53 | +$1.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.53at 0.373Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 17?
- +$-24.36at 0.063Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.5949833363 | $16.96 |
| 10-17 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.57 | $28.10 |
| 10-17 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2238938043 | $11.00 |
| 10-17 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.6084383339 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.7369570467 | $42.72 |
| 10-16 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3699999948 | $14.96 |
| 10-16 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3421142662 | $6.00 |
| 10-16 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.1272832564 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 17:56 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4929999987 | $35.00 |
| 10-16 17:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1899999993 | $35.00 |
| 10-16 17:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | SELL | 0.0468917441 | $70.64 |
| 10-16 17:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.0639330847 | $75.00 |
| 10-16 17:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $20.00 |