SRNKPL
0xdbcc12c7a70a94e75013f98177470e054b285cdd
- Realised P&L
- $75.21
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.035 | $7.14 | +$2.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 8? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on September 8? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 8? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 8? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.080US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0037454165 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0326976902 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0134343958 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on September 8? | BUY | 0.003941477 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 23:19 | Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0248533651 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 23:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |