hfncj
0xdbc5a029c30c6285931fad909848a0bb80ac9c30
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $1.55M
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.929 | $2.7k | +$332.61 |
| Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.013 | $13.18 | −$105.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.10at 0.570Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$68.82at 0.480Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
- +$25.98at 0.707Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$15.98at 0.954US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
- +$12.01at 0.340Hornets vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 09:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $10.91 |
| 09-29 06:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9502326277 | $158.90 |
| 09-29 06:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $22.87 |
| 09-19 16:46 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | SELL | 0.431 | $0.43 |
| 09-17 01:54 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.0151764894 | $47.38 |
| 09-17 01:51 | Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.011 | $42.79 |
| 09-16 12:06 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.4194140829 | $14.47 |
| 09-14 18:15 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.6489781738 | $238.17 |
| 09-11 11:31 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.4785774648 | $203.87 |
| 09-11 11:30 | Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.1352704777 | $20.44 |
| 09-10 14:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.7k |
| 09-10 14:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.7k |
| 09-10 12:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.2k |
| 09-09 22:02 | Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | SELL | 0.117 | $11.89 |
| 09-09 22:02 | Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.1137029328 | $118.00 |