KurtLogan
0xdbb7706d5b9a1dc16151e1a99c4a0a6c840edbb8
- Realised P&L
- $-13.79
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?
- +$1.47at 0.412Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?
- +$1.47at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?
- +$0.10at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.3540054835 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |