PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KurtLogan

0xdbb7706d5b9a1dc16151e1a99c4a0a6c840edbb8

Realised P&L
$-13.79
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$0.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 05:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-07 11:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-07 11:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-07 11:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 9?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-07 11:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-07 05:40Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 7?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-07 05:40Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7?BUY0.001$1.00
10-07 05:39Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-06 09:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.3540054835$3.00
10-06 07:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
10-05 06:33Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?BUY0.98$5.00
10-04 14:59Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 4?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-04 14:27Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?BUY0.4$1.00
10-04 10:43Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 4?BUY0.1$1.00
10-04 09:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.4$1.00