usber
0xdbb758b439f6d72c9e7d4374095de8be3c3c8296
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $93.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,702
- Open portfolio
- $6.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,702
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.49at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$88.96at 0.673Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$84.45at 0.649Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$79.82at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$76.35at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 11-01 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 11-01 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.12 |
| 11-01 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 11-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.13 |
| 11-01 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.69 |
| 11-01 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-31 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.25 |
| 10-31 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-31 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 10-31 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.67 |
| 10-31 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.73 |
| 10-31 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 10-31 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.42 |