PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ferio69

0xdba9b45b84ea2a9f73571fd4666ab7a98df87ef2

Realised P&L
$-70.42
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$59.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · No0.9010.935$51.89+$1.89
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.7900.225$7.20$18.09
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.5570.000$0.00$19.63
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$6.64
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 · Over0.0900.000$0.00$3.43
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$7.36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 21? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.0510.000$0.00$3.00
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00$40.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 14:16Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?BUY0.7899999991$25.29
07-20 14:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 21?BUY0.1464414487$5.00
07-20 14:09Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?BUY0.9009918732$50.00
07-20 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-20 11:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
07-20 11:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
07-20 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-19 22:47Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.88$35.20
07-19 21:33Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.999$15.13
07-19 20:59Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.5573821692$19.63
07-19 20:58Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersSELL0.99$55.11
07-19 20:45Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.6099999946$33.96
07-19 20:44Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersSELL0.99$34.68
07-19 20:27Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersBUY0.5488684931$19.23
07-19 20:26Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.415$20.24