0xdBA845CE8B847a358Ae8b7698cdE3b49965e0f96-1770632464793
0xdba845ce8b847a358ae8b7698cde3b49965e0f96
- Realised P&L
- $99.83
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $148.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.841 | 0.905 | $107.68 | +$7.68 |
| UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja | 0.460 | 0.435 | $18.91 | −$1.09 |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.473 | 0.535 | $11.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.325 | $10.91 | +$0.91 |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets · Pelicans | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| 76ers vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Hornets vs. Celtics · Hornets | 0.452 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.62 |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs · Mavericks | 0.297 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.37 |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Rockets vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.77 |
| Wizards vs. Knicks · Wizards | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers · Wizards | 0.361 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.56at 0.686Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$75.00at 0.400Cavaliers vs. Thunder
- +$73.07at 0.123Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$65.13at 0.399Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$60.00at 0.400Nuggets vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:40 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 11:41 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 06:54 | UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 07:32 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8409313079 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 05:46 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 16:02 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3599999904 | $15.00 |
| 07-07 16:24 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 15:56 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0770750856 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 17:40 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 12:57 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 07-06 12:55 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 17:30 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 17:29 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 07:56 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 07:55 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999869 | $5.00 |