0xdba0e7d0218efcd0be4c43f5cf160a371a9350da
0xdba0e7d0218efcd0be4c43f5cf160a371a9350da
- Realised P&L
- $53.38
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $536.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No | 0.640 | 0.640 | $106.39 | +$0.00 |
| Will Cameron Ward have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.838 | 0.805 | $104.00 | −$4.24 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? · No | 0.613 | 0.360 | $93.97 | −$66.01 |
| Will the Utah Mammoth record 110+ points? · No | 0.878 | 0.765 | $86.25 | −$12.77 |
| Will Zay Flowers have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.855 | 0.632 | $51.38 | −$18.10 |
| Will Lane Hutson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No | 0.720 | 0.577 | $42.01 | −$10.46 |
| Will Chris Godwin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.970 | 0.952 | $37.29 | −$0.70 |
| Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.325 | $11.69 | −$6.30 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No | 0.530 | 0.465 | $3.72 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.89at 0.287W35 Loule: Madelief Hageman vs Weronika Falkowska
- +$171.04at 0.281Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana
- +$93.26at 0.202Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?
- +$92.96at 0.254Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz
- +$83.97at 0.565Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $26.80 |
| 10-25 22:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $37.20 |
| 10-25 21:30 | Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.60 |
| 10-25 20:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.23 |
| 10-25 20:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 10-25 19:10 | Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.469 | $9.68 |
| 10-25 16:40 | Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.51 |
| 10-25 00:42 | Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.6505230669 | $19.22 |
| 10-24 19:42 | Will Cameron Ward have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.8199999899 | $11.42 |
| 10-24 19:26 | Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 18% to 21%? | BUY | 0.9910784725 | $99.49 |
| 10-24 19:25 | Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.6699999949 | $26.43 |
| 10-24 19:20 | Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.59 | $97.99 |
| 10-24 19:18 | Will Zay Flowers have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.8762253943 | $43.89 |
| 10-24 19:17 | Will Cameron Ward have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.84 | $96.83 |
| 10-24 18:40 | Will the Utah Mammoth record 110+ points? | BUY | 0.8782261641 | $99.02 |